#HURRICANE TRACK EUROPEAN MODEL UPDATE#

There is a chance this system is upgraded to tropical storm Ida later today, or Friday latest. The NHC warns that this system could potentially bring, вЂњdangerous impacts from storm surge, wind, and heavy rainfall to portions of the coasts of Texas, Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama, and the Florida Panhandle by Sunday and Monday.вЂќДЄlso noting earlier today that, вЂњUncertainty in the systemвЂ™s exact track and intensity remains large since the low is just beginning to form.вЂќ The NHC has now upgraded the probability of the tropical disturbance becoming a storm, with a 90% chance this occurs in the next 48 hours.ДЄlmost every forecaster or modeller weвЂ™ve spoken with is now expecting a strong tropical storm or hurricane in the Gulf of Mexico this weekend, with the uncertainty then about its eventual path and strength and whether it could pose a damaging landfall threat to insurance, reinsurance and ILS market interests. But the forecast models are becoming more certain with each passing run.ДЇorecast models are converging to a degree, with many model runs now showing a reasonably strong hurricane landfall on the Gulf Coast, with eastern Texas across to the regions of Louisiana that were so badly impacted by hurricanes last year seen as particularly in the firing line. Some of those uncertainties persist and there is still a way to go before weвЂ™ll know for sure what kind of threat this tropical disturbance is likely to pose, as a tropical storm or hurricane. The depression was officially named as Tropical Storm Ida later on Thursday, as expected. That suggests there is already a lot of tropical moisture locked into this system, which could present a significant rain threat for the Gulf Coast region as it moves north this weekend. ItвЂ™s also worth noting that even at this early stage in its life, this tropical system could be a significant rain-bringer, as the NHC warns of rainfall accumulations of 6 to 10 inches with maximum totals of 15 inches across Jamaica, with 8 to 12 inches with isolated maximum amounts of 20 inches for the Cayman Islands, western Cuba, including the Isle of Youth and the northeast portions of the Yucatan Peninsula.

#HURRICANE TRACK EUROPEAN MODEL UPDATE#

In itвЂ™s latest update the NHC has warned that, вЂњStrengthening is likely over the Gulf of Mexico and the system could be near major hurricane strength when it approaches the northern Gulf coast.вЂќ Update from Thursday evening: The NHC has just designated this system as tropical depression nine and there is a chance it becomes tropical storm Ida later today or tonight. Update, Friday 11:00 BST: Our latest, on the growing chance Ida may become the first notable hurricane loss of 2021. We highlighted this potential threat yesterday, detailing the situation that was possibly developing and also explaining the range of uncertainties that remained. Forecast models continue to point to the possibility of a hurricane forming and impacting the United States, with landfall of what is likely to be storm or hurricane Ida possible along the Gulf Coast, somewhere from Texas to Louisiana, very early next week. Windfields, Warnings and Spaghetti Models will return soon when Bargathus has time.Update: See the latest forecast and information here. Open - Forecaster (We need many, not just one) New ClassificationsД¬urrent Storms, Warnings, and Windfields. Open - Forecaster (We need many, not just one) Seniors can promote, give jobs and demote. If we get more people we will add seperate jobs.

For now forecasters are people who help around the article, advise etc. Leave in the comments ideas for more jobs and their roles etc. 3.1 Windfields, Warnings and Spaghetti Models will return soon when Bargathus has time.3 Current Storms, Warnings, and Windfields.

Hurricane track european model